Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 5-2
Ferencvárosi vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FHV
0 - 3
FTC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 1
FTC
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
DVS
0 - 2
FTC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
DVS
1 - 2
FTC
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FTC
2 - 0
FHV
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 1
FTC
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 1
SCH
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
UTR
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FEY
0 - 1
GAE
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |