Union Brescia vs FC Carpenedolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 2
FER
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
OLB
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
LEO
64%
21%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FSD
2 - 1
CRO
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 2
FSD
60%
24%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FSD
2 - 0
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
FSD
62%
23%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FSD
0 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |