Fénix vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
8º
5º
38
3º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ORI
2 - 0
FEN
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
FEN
2 - 0
UMO
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 0
FEN
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ART
0 - 2
FEN
12%
24%
64%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FEN
1 - 1
JUN
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
DEP
1 - 0
JUN
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
ATE
1 - 1
DEP
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
DEP
0 - 0
CEN
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
TAC
1 - 0
DEP
36%
29%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
DEP
1 - 1
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |