Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
CER
2 - 2
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
LFC
2 - 2
FEN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 1
PRO
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 3
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PRO
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 2
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PEÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |