Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
FEN
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 3
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CER
0 - 5
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
FEN
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
MWA
0 - 1
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 2
JUN
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 0
DEF
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 2
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |