Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 2
FEN
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
LFC
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
FEN
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 1
FEN
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 1
BOS
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
ETS
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |