Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
JUN
0 - 0
FEN
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
TAC
0 - 1
FEN
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
RIV
5 - 1
FEN
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
FEN
1 - 2
PAY
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 3
DEF
18%
26%
56%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 1
PAY
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
REN
0 - 0
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |