Fénix Bs As vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 0
ACA
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 1
FEN
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -3 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 1
EST
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 2
FEN
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
MOR
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SUA
0 - 1
DEF
77%
16%
8%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
19%
27%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 2
DEF
72%
19%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 1
ARM
15%
24%
60%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |