Conference League . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Fenerbahçe vs Olympiacos Piraeus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 2
FEN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 2
FEN
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
FEN
49%
23%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FEN
4 - 2
ADA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
FEN
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos Piraeus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 2
FEN
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 5
OLP
19%
26%
56%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OLP
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MTA
1 - 6
OLP
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |