Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 5-0
Fenerbahçe vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
FEN
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 1
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
FEN
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 1
PAN
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 1
VOL
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 2
GCZ
7%
13%
80%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
THU
2 - 1
GCZ
38%
24%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
STG
2 - 1
GCZ
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
APO
3 - 3
GCZ
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
4 - 3
GCZ
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |