Tercera División RFEF XI - Balearic Islands Round 28

Felanitx vs Binissalem analysis

Felanitx Binissalem
35 ELO 38
-7.9% Tilt -17.2%
8100º General ELO ranking 7566º
398º Country ELO ranking 350º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Felanitx
25.7%
Draw
34.5%
Binissalem

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Felanitx
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.5%
Win probability
Binissalem
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Felanitx
-29%
+16%
Binissalem

Points and table prediction

Felanitx
Their league position
Binissalem
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
15º
13º
47
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Poblense
72
72
100%
Constància
64
67
59%
SD Formentera
66
66
59%
Porreres
62
62
100%
Penya Independent
58
61
100%
Platges de Calvià
54
55
100%
Manacor
51
51
100%
Binissalem
47
47
100%
UE Alcudia
10º
44
45
57.5%
Llosetense
44
44
10º
57.5%
Mercadal
11º
40
40
11º
51%
Santanyi
12º
40
40
12º
51%
Felanitx
13º
40
40
13º
100%
UD Collerense
14º
39
39
14º
100%
SD Portmany
15º
37
37
15º
100%
PE Sant Jordi
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Campos
17º
20
20
17º
100%
CD Migjorn
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Felanitx
Binissalem
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Felanitx
Binissalem
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Felanitx
Felanitx
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
POR
SD Portmany
1 - 1
Felanitx
FLN
52%
24%
24%
33 37 4 0
15 Mar. 2025
FLN
Felanitx
0 - 2
Manacor
MNC
31%
24%
45%
34 42 8 -1
08 Mar. 2025
MJG
CD Migjorn
1 - 2
Felanitx
FLN
38%
25%
37%
33 28 5 +1
01 Mar. 2025
FLN
Felanitx
1 - 2
PE Sant Jordi
JOR
44%
23%
33%
34 34 0 -1
22 Feb. 2025
ALC
UE Alcudia
1 - 0
Felanitx
FLN
51%
24%
26%
35 37 2 -1

Matches

Binissalem
Binissalem
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
BNS
Binissalem
1 - 1
SD Formentera
SDF
12%
22%
66%
38 52 14 0
15 Mar. 2025
PBL
Poblense
1 - 0
Binissalem
BNS
75%
17%
9%
38 50 12 0
09 Mar. 2025
BNS
Binissalem
1 - 0
UD Collerense
CLL
32%
25%
43%
37 39 2 +1
01 Mar. 2025
MER
Mercadal
2 - 0
Binissalem
BNS
52%
24%
24%
38 39 1 -1
22 Feb. 2025
BNS
Binissalem
1 - 0
Penya Independent
PIN
15%
23%
62%
35 48 13 +3