Feirense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 1
TON
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
FEI
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 1
UNM
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FEI
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
FAF
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
INF
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FAF
0 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 2
FAF
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |