National 3 Hauts-de-France Round 5

Feignies vs Valenciennes II analysis

Feignies Valenciennes II
41 ELO 37
-15.5% Tilt -14.2%
3937º General ELO ranking 8427º
99º Country ELO ranking 285º
ELO win probability
50.8%
Feignies
23.7%
Draw
25.5%
Valenciennes II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
Feignies
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
Valenciennes II
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Feignies
+53%
-34%
Valenciennes II

Points and table prediction

Feignies
Their league position
Valenciennes II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
47
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feignies
57
60
100%
Lens II
47
50
85.5%
Valenciennes II
47
47
85.5%
Olympique Marcquois
44
45
100%
Iris Club de Croix
40
43
73.5%
Vimy
10º
36
39
33%
Lille II
37
37
25%
Chantilly
37
37
29.5%
Compiègne
36
37
6.5%
US Maubeuge
37
37
10º
20.5%
Amiens SC II
11º
29
30
11º
100%
Amiens AC
12º
19
19
12º
39%
ES Lambres
13º
18
19
13º
39%
Longueau
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Feignies
Valenciennes II
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Feignies
Valenciennes II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Feignies
Feignies
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
IRI
Iris Club de Croix
4 - 1
Feignies
FEI
30%
25%
45%
42 35 7 0
10 Dec. 2022
ESL
ES Lambres
2 - 0
Feignies
FEI
19%
21%
60%
44 27 17 -2
03 Dec. 2022
FEI
Feignies
2 - 2
Amiens SC II
AMI
63%
23%
14%
44 34 10 0
26 Nov. 2022
LIL
Lille II
1 - 4
Feignies
FEI
32%
25%
43%
42 36 6 +2
19 Nov. 2022
FEI
Feignies
0 - 3
Valenciennes
VAL
8%
18%
74%
43 65 22 -1

Matches

Valenciennes II
Valenciennes II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
COM
Compiègne
2 - 2
Valenciennes II
VAL
24%
24%
53%
37 26 11 0
14 Jan. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes II
1 - 1
US Maubeuge
USM
48%
24%
28%
37 38 1 0
10 Dec. 2022
IRI
Iris Club de Croix
0 - 2
Valenciennes II
VAL
45%
24%
31%
35 35 0 +2
03 Dec. 2022
VAL
Valenciennes II
1 - 3
Lens II
LEN
26%
24%
50%
36 44 8 -1
27 Nov. 2022
ESL
ES Lambres
1 - 6
Valenciennes II
VAL
39%
23%
38%
35 30 5 +1