Fehring vs Wildon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
16º
6º
47
1º
15º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
47 | 54 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 53 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 51 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 44 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 44 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 43 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 40 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 38 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 34 |
14º
|
87.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 22 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ILZ
0 - 1
FEH
39%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
UGA
4 - 0
FEH
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -3 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FEH
0 - 0
LAF
53%
20%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FUR
3 - 0
FEH
26%
20%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
FEH
2 - 0
TBG
18%
18%
64%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Wildon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 1
UGA
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TSH
3 - 0
SVW
8%
13%
78%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 0
SVF
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MOK
4 - 0
SVW
36%
22%
43%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SVW
4 - 0
MOO
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | +1 |