Fehring vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
16º
7º
48
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FUR
3 - 0
FEH
25%
20%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
FEH
2 - 0
TBG
21%
19%
61%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FEH
4 - 1
HGK
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 5
FEH
10%
16%
74%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FEH
3 - 2
UGA
62%
18%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LAF
3 - 2
UGA
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TSH
4 - 3
LAF
6%
12%
82%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USV
1 - 5
LAF
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VOI
1 - 1
LAF
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LAF
3 - 0
ILZ
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |