Febres vs Touring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Febres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FEB
3 - 1
CAR
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FEB
6 - 0
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
4 - 0
FEB
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FEB
3 - 2
ANC
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
EIR
2 - 3
FEB
20%
21%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 6
PEN
10%
18%
72%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
4 - 0
TOU
62%
20%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
ANC
16%
20%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
EIR
6 - 0
TOU
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 3
PAM
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |