FCS Nacional vs SNL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCS Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 3
DES
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ACO
5 - 2
FCS
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
TBR
1 - 4
FCS
60%
19%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 5
RES
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BOM
3 - 5
FCS
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SNL
5 - 4
RES
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
TBR
0 - 3
SNL
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 1
RAN
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SNL
5 - 0
SFC
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DES
1 - 2
SNL
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +2 |