Eerste Divisie Round 37

PEC Zwolle vs De Graafschap analysis

PEC Zwolle De Graafschap
64 ELO 74
3.7% Tilt 12.3%
374º General ELO ranking 638º
12º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
32.2%
PEC Zwolle
26.3%
Draw
41.6%
De Graafschap

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Win probability
De Graafschap
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PEC Zwolle
+7%
-3%
De Graafschap

ELO progression

PEC Zwolle
De Graafschap
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2007
FCD
Dordrecht
1 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
50%
24%
26%
65 67 2 0
06 Apr. 2007
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
67%
20%
13%
64 56 8 +1
30 Mar. 2007
RBC
RBC Roosendaal
3 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
48%
24%
28%
65 66 1 -1
25 Mar. 2007
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
2 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
61%
22%
18%
65 58 7 0
16 Mar. 2007
2 - 7
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
37%
24%
38%
64 57 7 +1

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2007
GRA
De Graafschap
4 - 2
FC Volendam
VOL
60%
22%
18%
74 69 5 0
06 Apr. 2007
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
3 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
28%
26%
46%
75 61 14 -1
30 Mar. 2007
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 1
Emmen
FCE
71%
18%
11%
74 59 15 +1
23 Mar. 2007
GRA
De Graafschap
3 - 1
AGOVV Apeldoorn
APE
78%
15%
7%
74 55 19 0
16 Mar. 2007
HFC
HFC Haarlem
0 - 3
De Graafschap
GRA
27%
27%
47%
74 62 12 0