1. Liga Promotion Round 30

FC Zurich II vs Luzern II analysis

FC Zurich II Luzern II
53 ELO 58
7.9% Tilt 7%
4068º General ELO ranking 3450º
43º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
24.7%
FC Zurich II
22.1%
Draw
53.2%
Luzern II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
FC Zurich II
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.2%
Win probability
Luzern II
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Zurich II
-10%
-27%
Luzern II

ELO progression

FC Zurich II
Luzern II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Zurich II
FC Zurich II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
RAP
Rapperswil
3 - 0
FC Zurich II
FCZ
74%
17%
9%
53 70 17 0
12 Apr. 2025
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 1
FC Zurich II
FCZ
67%
20%
14%
53 65 12 0
09 Apr. 2025
FCZ
FC Zurich II
1 - 4
Biel-Bienne
BIE
17%
22%
61%
54 67 13 -1
05 Apr. 2025
SCB
SC Bruhl
3 - 0
FC Zurich II
FCZ
53%
22%
25%
55 56 1 -1
30 Mar. 2025
FCZ
FC Zurich II
1 - 2
Breitenrain
BRE
42%
24%
34%
55 56 1 0

Matches

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
LUZ
Luzern II
2 - 3
Biel-Bienne
BIE
27%
23%
50%
59 68 9 0
12 Apr. 2025
SCB
SC Bruhl
2 - 5
Luzern II
LUZ
40%
24%
36%
58 57 1 +1
09 Apr. 2025
LUZ
Luzern II
2 - 2
Breitenrain
BRE
48%
24%
29%
58 57 1 0
05 Apr. 2025
BAD
Baden
1 - 5
Luzern II
LUZ
25%
22%
53%
57 50 7 +1
29 Mar. 2025
LUZ
Luzern II
1 - 1
Lugano II
LUG
67%
19%
15%
57 50 7 0