Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+186%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
11º
52
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 2
SHU
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 1
DOR
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 0
SHU
60%
19%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
4 - 0
UST
38%
21%
41%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
SHU
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chernolomets 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
BOT
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 3
CHE
34%
22%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
5 - 2
DOR
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
CHE
16%
18%
67%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
4 - 4
LOR
91%
7%
2%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |