Victoria Chișinău vs FCM Ungheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
2º
20
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 1 |
12º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
80% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Chișinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ISK
0 - 2
FCV
17%
20%
64%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ISK
0 - 6
FCV
18%
18%
64%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCS
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 3
FCV
13%
17%
70%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
4 - 1
DIN
44%
22%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
5 - 1
UNG
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
UNG
3 - 2
FST
74%
15%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 5
UNG
37%
23%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ISK
3 - 2
UNG
24%
21%
56%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UNG
2 - 1
FCS
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |