Velim vs Chrudim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
USP
1 - 0
FCV
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
UCK
3 - 2
FCV
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FCV
5 - 2
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JBN
1 - 0
FCV
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FCV
4 - 0
DOB
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chrudim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CHR
3 - 0
UCK
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHR
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CHR
0 - 3
JBN
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
DOB
2 - 2
CHR
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
CHR
0 - 2
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |