Challenge League Round 27

FC Vaduz vs Aarau analysis

FC Vaduz Aarau
73 ELO 62
1.2% Tilt 23.7%
942º General ELO ranking 727º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
59.9%
FC Vaduz
22.2%
Draw
17.9%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.9%
Win probability
Aarau
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Vaduz
+1%
+6%
Aarau

ELO progression

FC Vaduz
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2018
CHI
Chiasso
1 - 6
FC Vaduz
FCV
14%
22%
65%
72 57 15 0
18 Mar. 2018
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
52%
24%
24%
71 65 6 +1
14 Mar. 2018
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
15%
21%
64%
72 55 17 -1
10 Mar. 2018
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
16%
21%
63%
72 56 16 0
05 Mar. 2018
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 1
Servette
SER
51%
25%
24%
71 68 3 +1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2018
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
60%
22%
19%
62 56 6 0
16 Mar. 2018
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
28%
25%
47%
63 56 7 -1
12 Mar. 2018
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Rapperswil
RAP
46%
25%
29%
63 65 2 0
08 Mar. 2018
RAP
Rapperswil
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
39%
26%
36%
64 64 0 -1
04 Mar. 2018
FCA
Aarau
4 - 2
Wohlen
WOH
67%
19%
14%
63 53 10 +1