Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
62%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 1
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UTR
2 - 1
AZA
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
RKC
0 - 0
WIL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 4
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +2 |