Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
DON
2 - 0
UTR
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FEY
3 - 1
UTR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 3
UTR
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 0
MLL
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
WIL
3 - 5
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RJC
3 - 2
WIL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
13%
18%
70%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |