Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
FOR
3 - 0
UTR
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
UTR
3 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
FEY
1 - 2
UTR
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
UTR
1 - 2
BVO
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
TWE
4 - 2
UTR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
WIL
5 - 3
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
RJC
3 - 4
WIL
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
WIL
0 - 4
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
BOS
1 - 1
WIL
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
WIL
0 - 0
PSV
24%
22%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |