Eredivisie Round 5

Utrecht vs PSV analysis

Utrecht PSV
77 ELO 88
9.8% Tilt -8.4%
106º General ELO ranking 103º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.3%
Utrecht
22.8%
Draw
57%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
Utrecht
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57%
Win probability
PSV
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Utrecht
+8%
+12%
PSV

ELO progression

Utrecht
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2012
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
39%
28%
33%
77 71 6 0
25 Aug. 2012
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
77 74 3 0
18 Aug. 2012
VVV
VVV Venlo
1 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
30%
28%
42%
77 63 14 0
12 Aug. 2012
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
38%
25%
37%
77 82 5 0
01 Aug. 2012
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
67%
18%
15%
78 69 9 -1

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2012
PSV
PSV
5 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
69%
18%
14%
88 84 4 0
30 Aug. 2012
PSV
PSV
9 - 0
Zeta
ZET
82%
12%
6%
89 68 21 -1
26 Aug. 2012
GRO
Groningen
1 - 3
PSV
PSV
16%
22%
63%
88 71 17 +1
23 Aug. 2012
ZET
Zeta
0 - 5
PSV
PSV
13%
21%
67%
89 68 21 -1
18 Aug. 2012
PSV
PSV
5 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
79%
14%
8%
88 72 16 +1