Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 1
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
0 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 3
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 3
HSV
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
30%
29%
42%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
FEY
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |