Montfaucon vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.5%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.2%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
0.1%
+1
1.3%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.6%
92.8%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
15.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
20.5%
0-4
13.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
16.9%
0-5
9.3%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
-5
11.4%
0-6
5.4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
6.4%
0-7
2.7%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
3.1%
0-8
1.2%
1-9
0.2%
-8
1.3%
0-9
0.5%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
WOH
1 - 2
NEX
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCV
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
NEX
20%
25%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 0
NEX
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |