Unterstrass vs Mutschellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
13º
7º
11
11º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
REG
2 - 4
FCU
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 3
DIE
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 1
LAC
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
DIE
4 - 0
FCU
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FCU
4 - 1
KLI
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 4
FCW
19%
20%
62%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 4
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCS
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
MUT
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 1
LAC
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |