Unterstrass vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
16º
14º
0
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
0 | 67 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 58 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 53 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 47 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 43 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
0 | 43 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 40 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 34 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 33 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 30 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
0 | 29 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 20 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
72% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
FCU
46%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 1
BRU
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCU
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
FCC
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 2
GOL
61%
18%
21%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
PER
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SCE
3 - 1
ASC
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 0
LOC
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 2
ASC
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LUZ
42%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |