Mongolia League Round 12

FC Ulaanbaatar vs FC Deren analysis

FC Ulaanbaatar FC Deren
33 ELO 31
10.7% Tilt 1.8%
9833º General ELO ranking 9787º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.8%
FC Ulaanbaatar
19.4%
Draw
22.8%
FC Deren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
FC Ulaanbaatar
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.8%
Win probability
FC Deren
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Ulaanbaatar
+5%
+10%
FC Deren

ELO progression

FC Ulaanbaatar
FC Deren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Ulaanbaatar
FC Ulaanbaatar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2017
KHO
Khoromkhon
1 - 1
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
55%
20%
26%
30 31 1 0
30 Jul. 2017
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
0 - 3
Ulaanbaatar City
ULC
56%
20%
24%
31 32 1 -1
01 Jul. 2017
GFC
Anduud City
4 - 3
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
49%
22%
30%
31 31 0 0
23 Jun. 2017
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 - 4
Khangarid
KHA
54%
20%
26%
32 32 0 -1
17 Jun. 2017
ERC
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
2 - 1
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
57%
20%
23%
32 32 0 0

Matches

FC Deren
FC Deren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2017
ULC
Ulaanbaatar City
2 - 0
FC Deren
DER
52%
21%
26%
32 32 0 0
02 Aug. 2017
DER
FC Deren
1 - 1
Khangarid
KHA
48%
21%
31%
32 32 0 0
30 Jun. 2017
DER
FC Deren
2 - 0
UB Unaganuud
UBU
52%
21%
27%
32 30 2 0
24 Jun. 2017
1 - 3
FC Deren
DER
58%
19%
23%
32 32 0 0
18 Jun. 2017
DER
FC Deren
2 - 0
Khoromkhon
KHO
53%
21%
27%
32 31 1 0