Twenty 11 vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
78.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+118%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
10º
10º
22
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
FCT
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
FER
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
FCT
90%
8%
3%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 4
COA
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
NOM
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CNT
0 - 10
NSF
9%
13%
79%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
81%
11%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
5 - 0
COA
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |