Twenty 11 vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
75.8%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
10º
10º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
FCT
96%
3%
1%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FCT
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 6
NSF
8%
13%
79%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
FCT
20%
19%
62%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WNK
2 - 2
GIA
53%
20%
28%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
QPA
0 - 1
GIA
50%
20%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
FER
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 2
GIA
68%
16%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GIA
4 - 1
SUF
62%
18%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |