Holland Reserve League Preliminary Round Round 4

Twente U21 vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis

Twente U21 NEC Nijmegen U21
42 ELO 27
-6.2% Tilt -10.7%
32263º General ELO ranking 10743º
538º Country ELO ranking 151º
ELO win probability
77%
Twente U21
13.9%
Draw
9.1%
NEC Nijmegen U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
Twente U21
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.1%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen U21
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Twente U21
NEC Nijmegen U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente U21
Twente U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2018
CAM
Cambuur U21
2 - 1
Twente U21
TWE
11%
17%
72%
44 22 22 0
27 Aug. 2018
TWE
Twente U21
2 - 1
De Graafschap U21
GRA
55%
23%
22%
45 39 6 -1
20 Aug. 2018
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles U21
1 - 2
Twente U21
TWE
10%
16%
74%
45 22 23 0
26 May. 2018
ODI
ODIN '59
1 - 3
Twente U21
TWE
56%
23%
21%
45 47 2 0
19 May. 2018
TWE
Twente U21
3 - 2
Quick Boys
QUI
25%
24%
51%
43 50 7 +2

Matches

NEC Nijmegen U21
NEC Nijmegen U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2018
NEC
NEC Nijmegen U21
5 - 1
Heerenveen U21
HER
22%
21%
57%
24 33 9 0
28 Aug. 2018
NEC
NEC Nijmegen U21
4 - 2
Cambuur U21
CAM
49%
21%
30%
25 24 1 -1
20 Aug. 2018
GRA
De Graafschap U21
4 - 0
NEC Nijmegen U21
NEC
82%
12%
7%
25 38 13 0
30 Apr. 2018
NEC
NEC Nijmegen U21
3 - 2
Feyenoord U21
FYN
34%
23%
42%
26 29 3 -1
23 Apr. 2018
CAM
Cambuur U21
0 - 0
NEC Nijmegen U21
NEC
50%
21%
29%
25 27 2 +1