FC Tokyo vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 3
KAA
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 1
TOK
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
URA
0 - 0
FCT
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 0
KAR
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 0
NAG
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VVA
4 - 1
ROA
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
ROA
1 - 2
FAG
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ROA
1 - 3
OIT
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SAG
3 - 4
ROA
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
ROA
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |