FC Tokyo vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
17º
6º
23
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 70 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 65 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 64 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 62 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 61 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 58 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 57 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 57 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 55 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 55 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 55 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 52 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 50 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 47 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 45 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 42 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 40 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
20º
|
11 | 40 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 34 |
19º
|
31.5% | |
|
19º
|
11 | 31 |
20º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
1% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
10% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
VEK
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
FCT
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
SAG
0 - 1
FCT
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 1
GAM
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
AVI
8 - 0
FCF
88%
10%
2%
|
80 | 34 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 2
AVI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
AVI
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
AVI
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 3
CER
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |