TIAMO Hirakata vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
13º
50
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TIAMO Hirakata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
TIA
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TIA
0 - 3
HON
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 1
VEK
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
YOK
2 - 0
TIA
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
SUN
47%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 1
HON
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HON
0 - 0
REA
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
HON
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
URA
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HON
1 - 3
HON
7%
18%
75%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |