Switzerland League U18 round 8

FC Thun U18 vs Aarau U18 analysis

FC Thun U18 Aarau U18
14 ELO 27
-0.8% Tilt -4.5%
39513º General ELO ranking 39523º
434º Country ELO ranking 444º
ELO win probability
14.2%
FC Thun U18
18.5%
Draw
67.3%
Aarau U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
FC Thun U18
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.3%
Win probability
Aarau U18
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Thun U18
+20%
-11%
Aarau U18

ELO progression

FC Thun U18
Aarau U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Thun U18
FC Thun U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2015
GCZ
Grasshopper Zürich U18
1 - 0
FC Thun U18
FCT
88%
8%
4%
15 33 18 0
26 Sep. 2015
FCZ
FC Zürich U18
4 - 3
FC Thun U18
FCT
85%
10%
5%
15 27 12 0
19 Sep. 2015
FCT
FC Thun U18
0 - 3
FC Basel U18
FCB
9%
14%
78%
16 34 18 -1
13 Sep. 2015
FCT
FC Thun U18
1 - 2
Team Ticino U18
TTI
16%
19%
65%
16 28 12 0
09 Sep. 2015
SFC
Servette FC U18
1 - 0
FC Thun U18
FCT
85%
11%
5%
16 34 18 0

Matches

Aarau U18
Aarau U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2015
TAA
Aarau U18
1 - 0
FC Basel U18
FCB
21%
21%
58%
25 35 10 0
26 Sep. 2015
TAA
Aarau U18
1 - 1
Servette FC U18
SFC
21%
21%
58%
24 34 10 +1
19 Sep. 2015
STG
FC St. Gallen U18
2 - 2
Aarau U18
TAA
69%
18%
13%
24 30 6 0
12 Sep. 2015
TAA
Aarau U18
2 - 0
Team Vaud U18
TVA
55%
22%
23%
23 22 1 +1
05 Sep. 2015
FLK
FC Luzern-SC Kriens U18
3 - 1
Aarau U18
TAA
51%
22%
27%
24 22 2 -1