FC Thalwil vs Dardania St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
6º
39
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCT
38%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 0
FCR
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 1
FCT
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 3
FCT
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
4 - 0
CHU
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Dardania St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DSG
1 - 2
BAZ
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 1
DSG
76%
13%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DSG
5 - 2
WID
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DSG
5 - 3
WIL
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
UST
4 - 2
DSG
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |