Landesliga Central Bavaria Round 12

FC Tegernheim vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis

FC Tegernheim Fortuna Regensburg
18 ELO 28
4.6% Tilt -3.9%
42153º General ELO ranking 3887º
1800º Country ELO ranking 170º
ELO win probability
10.8%
FC Tegernheim
15.4%
Draw
73.8%
Fortuna Regensburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
FC Tegernheim
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.8%
Win probability
Fortuna Regensburg
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Tegernheim
+275%
+161%
Fortuna Regensburg

ELO progression

FC Tegernheim
Fortuna Regensburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Tegernheim
FC Tegernheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2017
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 0
FC Tegernheim
FCT
84%
11%
6%
17 28 11 0
02 Sep. 2017
FCT
FC Tegernheim
0 - 3
ASV Cham
ASV
18%
19%
63%
18 27 9 -1
26 Aug. 2017
TSW
TSV Waldkirchen
4 - 1
FC Tegernheim
FCT
79%
13%
8%
18 28 10 0
19 Aug. 2017
TKL
TSV Kareth Lappersdorf
2 - 0
FC Tegernheim
FCT
67%
18%
15%
18 23 5 0
15 Aug. 2017
FCT
FC Tegernheim
0 - 3
SC Neukirchen
SCN
44%
22%
35%
19 21 2 -1

Matches

Fortuna Regensburg
Fortuna Regensburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2017
BOG
Bogen
3 - 0
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
17%
19%
65%
32 21 11 0
08 Sep. 2017
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
1 - 1
TSV Kareth Lappersdorf
TKL
83%
11%
6%
33 23 10 -1
03 Sep. 2017
SCN
SC Neukirchen
2 - 3
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
26%
21%
54%
32 23 9 +1
25 Aug. 2017
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
4 - 2
ASV Burglengenfeld
BUR
75%
15%
11%
31 26 5 +1
19 Aug. 2017
FCS
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
3 - 4
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
37%
22%
41%
30 27 3 +1