FC Sursee vs Munsingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
5 - 3
FCS
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 4
LUZ
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCS
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 1
DEL
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 1
SCH
28%
22%
51%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
BLA
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 4
MUN
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
MUN
5 - 0
LUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MUN
5 - 1
DUD
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BUO
0 - 0
MUN
42%
24%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |