FC Sursee vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LSS
1 - 1
FCS
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
4 - 2
IBA
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
3 - 4
FCS
57%
22%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 2
FCA
51%
23%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 3
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
SAR
5 - 2
HER
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 6
EMM
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 2
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
TAV
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |