Sumy vs Sevastopol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
KRY
2 - 0
SUM
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SUM
0 - 2
MFK
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
SUM
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ABT
1 - 2
SUM
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SUM
0 - 1
NAF
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sevastopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PSE
1 - 0
AVA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 3
PSE
20%
25%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
PSE
1 - 0
BUK
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PSE
3 - 0
PFC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PSE
0 - 0
HEL
70%
19%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |