Struga vs Sileks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
47
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 3
FCS
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 2
POB
72%
20%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
FCS
16%
27%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 2
SHK
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
SIL
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
MAK
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 0
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SIL
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |