Struga vs Pelister analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
4º
39
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 0
SHK
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BES
3 - 2
FCS
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 0
VOK
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FCS
3 - 0
SHK
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SIL
3 - 1
FCS
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 3
VAR
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SHK
0 - 1
PEL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SHK
1 - 0
PEL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 0
VOK
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SHK
3 - 1
PEL
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |