Struga vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
27
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
FCS
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
MAK
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
MAK
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
FCS
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
AKP
51%
26%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
3 - 0
POB
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 3
AKP
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |