Struga vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
27
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 2
FCS
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
SHK
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAB
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FKS
2 - 1
AKP
17%
26%
57%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AKP
3 - 0
SIL
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
AKP
48%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
AKP
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 2
RAB
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |