Stengefort vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RBE
2 - 1
FCS
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 2
USS
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
5 - 0
FCS
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 4
GRE
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
FCS
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OBE
4 - 6
URE
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
OBE
0 - 5
RBE
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
USS
3 - 0
OBE
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OBE
0 - 2
AVE
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
OBE
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |