2. Division Round 11

FC Sochi-2 vs Rubin Yalta analysis

FC Sochi-2 Rubin Yalta
30 ELO 47
-4% Tilt 0.6%
9590º General ELO ranking 5403º
138º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
28.8%
FC Sochi-2
25.4%
Draw
45.9%
Rubin Yalta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
FC Sochi-2
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.9%
Win probability
Rubin Yalta
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Sochi-2
+989%
-18%
Rubin Yalta

Points and table prediction

FC Sochi-2
Their league position
Rubin Yalta
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
25
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Stavropol
35
49
50.5%
SKChF Sevastopol
30
47
21.5%
Pobeda Khasavyurt
35
46
21%
FC Kuban Holding
31
45
16%
FK Rostov II
31
45
15%
Astrakhan
27
40
18.5%
Rubin Yalta
25
39
20%
Druzhba Maykop
11º
22
37
13.5%
FC Sochi-2
28
36
16%
Legion Makhachkala
10º
23
35
10º
24%
Nart Cherkessk
23
34
11º
40%
Angusht
12º
14
22
12º
56.5%
Spartak Nalchik
13º
12
20
13º
59%
Dynamo Makhachkala II
14º
2
6
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Sochi-2
Rubin Yalta
Promotion
0% 0.5%
Mid-table
100% 99.5%

ELO progression

FC Sochi-2
Rubin Yalta
Legion Makhachkala
Pobeda Khasavyurt
Spartak Nalchik
Nart Cherkessk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Sochi-2
FC Sochi-2
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
AST
Astrakhan
1 - 1
FC Sochi-2
SOC
64%
19%
18%
31 41 10 0
10 May. 2025
SOC
FC Sochi-2
4 - 0
Angusht
ANG
31%
24%
46%
27 38 11 +4
03 May. 2025
LEG
Legion Makhachkala
1 - 1
FC Sochi-2
SOC
63%
21%
16%
26 49 23 +1
26 Apr. 2025
SOC
FC Sochi-2
1 - 0
Spartak Nalchik
NAL
18%
20%
62%
23 40 17 +3
19 Apr. 2025
FKK
FC Kuban Holding
3 - 1
FC Sochi-2
SOC
67%
20%
14%
23 49 26 0

Matches

Rubin Yalta
Rubin Yalta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
RUB
Rubin Yalta
2 - 1
SKChF Sevastopol
SKC
34%
25%
41%
46 50 4 0
10 May. 2025
DMA
Druzhba Maykop
4 - 0
Rubin Yalta
RUB
39%
26%
35%
47 41 6 -1
03 May. 2025
RUB
Rubin Yalta
0 - 1
Nart Cherkessk
NCH
50%
24%
26%
48 42 6 -1
26 Apr. 2025
FKP
Pobeda Khasavyurt
3 - 2
Rubin Yalta
RUB
36%
26%
38%
49 41 8 -1
19 Apr. 2025
RUB
Rubin Yalta
3 - 0
Dynamo Makhachkala II
DDA
81%
12%
7%
48 20 28 +1